The Impact of Rice Production on the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of the Agricultural Sector in Indonesia in 2024
Main Article Content
M. Ikhsan Nur Rozak*
Yuli Safitri
The agricultural sector occupies a pivotal position within the Indonesian economy, particularly in underpinning food sovereignty and galvanising regional economic advancement. From an Islamic economic standpoint, productive endeavours constitute an integral manifestation of earth stewardship (isti'mar al-ardh), as divinely ordained in QS. Hud: 61, and must be inexorably oriented toward the collective amelioration of societal welfare. This article aims to identify the bearing of rice cultivation output upon the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) of the agricultural sector across Indonesia in 2024. Employing a quantitative epistemological paradigm, this study draws upon secondary data procured from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), encompassing cross-sectional observations spanning 38 provincial jurisdictions throughout Indonesia. The analytical instrumentation deployed is simple linear regression. Empirical findings corroborate that rice production exerts an affirmative and statistically consequential influence upon the agricultural sector's GRDP, evidenced by a probability value of 0.0000 (<0.05). The regression coefficient of 0.365528 denotes that an incremental augmentation in rice production is concomitantly accompanied by a commensurate ascendancy in agricultural GRDP. The coefficient of determination (R-squared) of 0.677635 substantiates that rice production explicates 67.76% of the observed variability in the agricultural sector's GRDP. Accordingly, rice cultivation output assumes an indispensable role in buttressing the operational performance of Indonesia's agricultural sector. This empirical corroboration affirms that the amplification of rice production not only catalyses macroeconomic proliferation but also resonates consonantly with the Islamic economic tenet of attaining comprehensive prosperity (falah) and overarching communal beneficence.
Azizah, S., Rosyadah, H. K. Al, Sanjaya, I., & Mubarok, M. S. (2024). Analisis Proses Produksi, Distribusi, Dan Konsumsi Dalam Perspektif Ekonomi Islam. JURNAL EKONOMI ISLAM. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.56184/jeijournal.v2i1.331
BPS. (2021). Analisis Indikator Makro Ekonomi.
BPS. (2024a). Distribusi Persentase Produk Domestik Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Berlaku Menurut Lapangan Usaha (persen), 2024.
BPS. (2024b). Pada 2023, luas panen padi mencapai sekitar 10,21 juta hektare dengan produksi padi sebesar 53,98 juta ton gabah kering giling (GKG).
BPS. (2025). Distribusi PDRB Jawa Tengah Atas Dasar Harga Berlaku Menurut Lapangan Usaha (Persen), 2010 - 2024.
BPS. (2026). Distribusi Persentase Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Atas Dasar Harga Berlaku Menurut Lapangan Usaha (persen) di Provinsi Sumatera Utara, 2024.
Chapra, M. U. (2016). The future of economics: An Islamic perspective (Vol. 21). Kube Publishing Ltd.
Dewi, W. Q., Putranta, N. C., Clarissa, M. A., Fadila, K. N., & Hidayati, A. N. (2025). Analisis Konsep Biaya Dan Efisiensi Produksi Dalam Ekonomi Islam: Tinjauan Literatur Terhadap Prinsip Dan Implementasi. Jurnal Inovasi Keuangan Dan Manajemen, 6(2), 62–75. https://ijurnal.com/1/index.php/jikm/article/view/782
Fi’alauddin, M. S. (2024). Kontribusi Komoditas Padi ( Oryza Sativa L ) Terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto ( PDRB ) Kabupaten Sukabumi. Journal of Agribusiness, Social And Economic, 4(1), 30–37. https://doi.org/10.32585/jase.v4i1.5200
Gujarati, D., & Porter, D. C. (2010). Dasar - Dasar Ekonometrika (5th ed.). Salemba.
Imran, S., & Indriani, R. (2022). Buku Ajar: Ekonomi Produksi Pertanian.
Nicholson, W. (2012). Microeconomics theory: Basic principles and extensions. Cengage Learning.
Prihady, I. T., & Djinar, S. N. (2022). The effect of production, international rice prices, and foreign exchange reserves on the volume of Indonesian rice imports in 2008-2020. Eurasia: Economics & Business, 3(57), 51–61. https://doi.org/10.18551/econeurasia.2022-03.07
Rozi, F., Santoso, A. B., Mahendri, I. G. A. P., Hutapea, R. T. P., Wamaer, D., Siagian, V., Elisabeth, D. A. A., Sugiono, S., Handoko, H., Subagio, H., & Syam, A. (2023). Indonesian market demand patterns for food commodity sources of carbohydrates in facing the global food crisis. Heliyon, 9(6), e16809. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16809
Sari, A. D., Rahmawati, R. D., Kewilayahan, E., & Mada, U. G. (2024). Analisis Kontribusi Sub Sektor Pertanian terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Pendidikan Tambusai, 8(2), 29163–29173. https://jptam.org/index.php/jptam/article/view/17572
Sari, C. P. M., & Trisniarti, N. (2023). Analisis Fixed Effect Model Luas Panen dan Produksi Padi terhadap PDRB pada 5 Provinsi di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian UNIMAL, 6(1), 1–10. https://ojs.unimal.ac.id/JEPU/article/view/12294
Todaro, M. P., & Smith, S. C. (2020). Economic Development (13th ed.).
Wahyuni, A., Zukhri, N., & Valeriani, D. (2023). Pengaruh luas lahan, luas panen, produktivitas dan produksi padi terhadap pdrb sektor pertanian di Kabupaten Bangka Barat. KAMIKAWA (Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan Dan Inovasi), 3(1). https://journal.babelprov.go.id/index.php/kamikawa/article/view/11
Wooldridge, J. M. (2016). Introductory econometrics a modern approach. South-Western cengage learning.
Zulapriansyah, R. (2025). Ekspansi Luas Panen dan Penurunan Produktivitas Padi: Tinjauan Kuantitatif Atas Produksi dan Penggunaan Lahan di Kabupaten Lima Puluh Kota. Journal of Scientech Research and Development, 7(2), 365–373. https://doi.org/10.56670/jsrd.v7i2.1292












